Poll shows Councilman DeMaio ahead in mayor’s race

City News Service

A poll released today shows Councilman Carl DeMaio leading Rep. Bob Filner, D-Chula Vista, by a margin of 25 percent to 20 percent in the San Diego mayor’s race.

The poll conducted by Competitive Edge Research also showed Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher, R-San Diego, and District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis tied at 11 percent.

Nearly one-third of the 603 likely voters polled between March 1-4 were undecided, including 41 percent who identified themselves as moderates.

The results of the poll -- which has a margin of error of 4 percent -- were released by the San Diego County Republican Party, which stated that Competitive Edge Research was retained by DeMaio. However, this particular poll was conducted for someone else, party Chairman Tony Krvaric said.

A pair of previous polls by Survey USA -- the latest released last month -- had roughly similar results. The primary election is June 5, with the top two vote-getters facing each other in a runoff in November if no candidate receives a majority, as is expected.

According to the latest poll, 52 percent of those surveyed who identified themselves as “very conservative” said they would vote for DeMaio, and 32 percent of those surveyed who identified themselves “somewhat conservative” said they would vote for him. Fletcher was second in both categories, at 12 percent and 14 percent, respectively.

One-third of those surveyed who identified themselves as “somewhat conservatives” said they were undecided.

Filner led with 28 percent among respondents who said they were “somewhat liberal,” followed by Dumanis with 15 percent, and DeMaio with 12 percent, Another 31 percent of voters in that category were undecided.

Among those who identified themselves as “very liberal” category, Filner led with 39 percent, followed by Dumanis with 10 percent.

Of the three leading Republicans in the race, DeMaio had the support of 39 percent of the Republican voters, followed by Fletcher at 15 percent and Dumanis at 8 percent.

None of the Republicans received more than Fletcher’s 12 percent backing by Democrats.

Democrats have higher voter registration in San Diego, but municipal races are nonpartisan.

DeMaio was endorsed by the San Diego County Republican Party on Saturday, gaining the two-thirds vote necessary on the first ballot.